Even More New Mortgage Rules for Ontario Real Estate?

17 Ridgewood Road, currently listed by Harvey Kalles Real Estate agent Flora Anafcheh.

The Ontario Superintendent of Financial Institutions is considering more changes to the mortgage rules, according to the Financial Post.

What could this mean? Well, “low ratio” mortgages would only be given with 25-year amortization periods, as opposed to 35 years. Low-ratio mortgages are loans for no more than 80% of the home’s value, and do not require insurance, although mortgage providers may sell them with insurance. Because until this point they were considered more secure, granting them a long amortization period made sense. But following the 2008 mortgage crisis in the States and elsewhere, some economists think the conventional wisdom around mortgages is due for re-evaluation.

Finance minister Jim Flaherty has gone on the record stating that he wants Canada’s housing market to cool down, and for the past four years the government has narrowed the window on available mortgages by changing the mortgage rules. The primary goal in narrowing that window is to keep more Canadians out of debt they can’t manage, which has been a troubling trend for Canadian households with a high debt-to-income ratio.

So what does this mean for home buyers? First, it means they should speak with the financial planner at their mortgage-lending institution before applying for a mortgage. (This is always a good idea, but it’s an even better idea when the rules are in the process of changing.) Second, it means that more potential homebuyers may be shut out of the market, as is happening in Toronto’s condo market, and in the semi- and detached market, which is dominated by high prices and low sales.

There is an argument to be made in favour of limiting the availability of mortgages. Buying a home with dreams bigger than your wallet can turn into a nightmare of debt. Paying less than 20% of a home’s price as a down payment is a way to get onto the housing ladder, but can cause problems down the road if interest rates go up or if your financial situation changes – and it means you’re paying PMI, which is more than an extra percent on your mortgage rate. And amortizing over a long period means that the debt only lasts longer, compiling further interest and limiting the likelihood of obtaining other loans that play a major role in developing personal earning potential, such as business and education loans. It can be tough to start that new venture, or invest in another degree, when you’re still responsible for a thirty-five year mortgage. And you’ll probably end up paying hundreds of thousands of dollars more on the same loan than would someone with a shorter mortgage term.

On the other hand, shutting more and more people out of the housing market does nothing to ameliorate the factors that keep homebuyers from affording bigger down payments and bigger mortgages. Younger Canadians have a harder time obtaining mortgages than Boomers did, because tuition increases have saddled them with greater student debt. Locking them out of the housing market means diminishing the tax base necessary for municipal initiatives and infrastructure, and encourages them to take themselves and their talent to other provinces. Moreover, homeownership has a beneficial impact on academic performance and behaviour in young children. And yet, more and more Millennials are facing the prospect of starting their families in apartment complexes, if they decide to have families at all. In other words, limiting the availability of mortgages might diminish the average ratio of Canadian household debt, but it’s only a blunt tool for re-building the Canadian economy as a whole.

Categories: Blog


Transit Plans and the Toronto Real Estate Market

Image credit: urbantoronto.ca.

What are the real estate market implications of Toronto’s transit plans?

Toronto City Council has voted not to support the province’s suggested revenue tools for funding transit expansion in Scarborough. Mayor Ford and his supports on Council want subways, although the province has already agreed to pay for light rail under the Big Move plan. AndQueen’s Park has no intention of re-opening the debate on subways. Says Metrolinx of the next phase of their Big Move transit plan:

“We have a plan that is based on a legal agreement signed in November with the City of Toronto and TTC and we are acting on that plan. Our focus is on delivering the agreed upon plan and we are moving forward with LRT to replace the Scarborough RT.”

This dashes hopes for a new transit deal for Scarborough, one which would take a systemic approach rather than an expansive one. In all likelihood, Scarborough’s LRT plan will remain in place. The only question is how it will be funded. But after that is sorted out, the question that should be on the minds of developers and realtors is: what with this mean for Scarborough’s real estate market?

Economically, the LRT will likely be wonderful for Scarbrough’s street-level businesses. Retail sales along Manhattan avenues equipped with bike lanes jumped 49%, and it’s not unreasonable to think that the same could happen for businesses along LRT lines, which are above-ground. Toronto’s local businesses have thrived along streets with streetcars (yes, even on St. Clair, in the end), and streetcars have kept neighbourhoods like Little Italy alive while bolstering home values in Leslieville and the Beaches. While the LRT and the streetcar system will not be exactly the same, the LRT will make commutes easier for Scarborough locals, enabling them to look for work closer to home.

Why is that so important? According to BMO, first-time home-buyers rank proximity to transit as their second most important factor in choosing a home. And because would-be home-buyers are the ones being shut out of Toronto’s condo market by the new mortgage rules, it’s natural that commute-minded GTA residents might start looking at LRT-enhanced Scarborough. Locked out of the semi-detached market by climbing prices, but intimidated by similar rises in condo rents, they may be ready to look further afield for a home — especially if the prices are right and the services and amenities are commensurate with what they’re used to.

And those amenities might be pretty good, after all, if Scarborough’s transit plan turns out. One goal of the plan is to promote mid-rise, mixed-use development, with street-level retail. And this is happening just as mid-rise condos are gaining popularity among developers.

We’re looking at a possible perfect storm here, where all the factors line up to create a mini-boom in Scarborough real estate. Picture this: five years from now, first-time buyers well-acquainted with the current mortgage rules learn that Scarborough’s new LRT stations are surrounded by fair-trade coffee shops and organic grocery stores, with available daycare slots and LEED-certified mid-rise condos. Sure, it’s not Toronto, but they’ve already been locked out of Toronto’s market. So off they go, at 34 miles per hour, to look for the next (mid-rise) thing.

Categories: Blog


Harvey Kalles Real Estate Market Report and Listings Sold and Leased: April 27 – May 3, 2013

26 Pinewood Avenue, listed and sold by Harvey Kalles Real Estate agent Marni Lokash.

Every few weeks, we blog all the sales and leases from the previous period for agents at Harvey Kalles Real Estate, and we feature one, sometimes two, of the homes our agents have sold and leased. We also provide reporting and commentary around the Toronto real estate market: trends, forecasts and intelligence from our in-house experts.

Now that the April numbers from the Toronto Real Estate Board are in, it’s clear to us here at Harvey Kalles that we’re seeing a resurgence of the strong Toronto real estate market that we know and love. Contrary to the first few months of the year, sales this April are within close striking distance of last year’s numbers, and both new listings and active listings were up, signaling a loosening of the tight inventory situation we’ve been experiencing since late 2012. More homes to choose from means happy buyers, and more buyers means happy sellers.

As well, as Jason Mercer, TREB’s Senior Manager of Market Analysis points out, condo prices are strong: “The condominium apartment segment in the City of Toronto was a key driver of price growth in April, with both the average selling price and the MLS HPI apartment index up on a year-over-year basis.  The improved condo sales picture, with Toronto sales down by only one per cent compared to last year, suggests that interest in condo ownership may be improving.” Although new condo sales in Toronto were down 55% in the first quarter of 2013, these April numbers suggest a resurgence of demand and a stability of price in this sector.

Here are the listings our agents sold and/or leased between April 26 and May 3, 2013.

PH3-1717 Avenue Road: Howard Biderman

2510-35 Balmuto Street (leased): Heidi Nelson

7 Barristers Court: Marion Alberga and Simone Stern

803-7601 Bathurst Street: Bob Davidson

2706-1001 Bay Street: Despina Barnard 

103-23 Brant Street: Jamie Erlick 

72 Brucewood Cres: Adeana Axler and Nancy Jo Biderman 

2572 Bur Oak Avenue: Naval Gandhi 

53 Cambridge Avenue: Ferne Sherkin-Langer and Nina Castle  

206-55 Carscadden Drive: Nadia De Vincenzo

3 Cedarbank Cres: Barbara Krieger

221 Coldstream Avenue (leased): Despina Barnard 

23 Donwoods Drive (leased): Janine Sheeres 

170 Forest Hill Road: Marion Alberga and Simone Stern

49 Harmony Road: Rachel Sekler 

26 McNairn Avenue: Robert Greenberg and Andre Kutyan

26 Pinewood Avenue: Marni Lokash

1519-1070 Sheppard Avenue W: Aaron Gonsenhauser

2607-65 Skymark Drive: Michael Loewith and Jennifer Greenberg

11 Sonata Cres: Cheryl and Samantha Graff

1609-530 St Clair Avenue W (leased): Michael Friedman 

1706-530 St Clair Avenue W (leased): Nancy Jo Biderman and Michael Friedman 

603 St Germain Ave: Sacha Hayward

144 Tamworth Road: Anita Evans 

204 Walmer Road: Jeffrey Joseph and Irene Joseph

105B Walmer Road: Howard BidermanMichael Loewith and Jennifer Greenberg

607-38 William Carson Cres: Robert Greenberg and Andre Kutyan

309-525 Wilson Ave: Rachel Sekler and Susan Young

101 Woodvalley Crescent: Leslie Richman and Bob Davidson

 

Categories: Blog


Why Are Canadian Homes More Expensive Than American Homes?

16 Buckingham Ave, listed and sold by Harvey Kalles Real Estate agents Donna and Nick Thompson.

By now, you’ve probably read this Globe and Mail piece on the 62% price gap between Canadian and American homes. As Michael Babad notes:

BMO Nesbitt Burns compared the two markets, and found that, while U.S. prices surged on an annual basis to March, average prices in Canada remain a “towering” 62 per cent above those in America.

So, what accounts for this difference? Well, it’s complicated. But here are some answers:

  • The Canadian economy is recovering from the 2008 crisis at a different rate. In large part, that’s because it navigated the crisis with such success. The same practises that protected Canadian banks, investors, and businesses back, like much stricter limits on mortgage lending – restrictions that have in fact become even more strict since then – then aren’t as helpful now, because their goal isn’t rapid growth (or rapid recovery). Avoiding catastrophe has its own cost. Slow growth is one of them.
  • The total gap does not speak to the further urban/rural divide in Canada. In some areas of Canada, the price gap simply does not exist. There are comparably-priced homes to be had outside Canada’s urban centres, but the prices of homes in Vancouver, Toronto, and Montreal’s downtown cores are expensive simply because of high demand, as Canada becomes increasingly urbanized.
  • Living in Canada is more expensive in general. Ottawa is working on bringing down import tariffs, but for the moment, imported goods are expensive. That includes the elements used to build and fill homes, like lumber, roofing materials, and consumer electrics. On the other hand, “country pricing” may also be to blame.
  • The Canadian standard of living is higher. Canada offers more benefits to its residents, including national healthcare, subsidized daycare and education, and meaningful industry regulations that keep Canadians safe from everything from shoddy workmanship to ineffective medicine. You get what you pay for, and in Canada you get quite a lot. If you’ve ever travelled overseas and watched someone’s eyes light up when you say you’re from Canada, you probably know that a little bit of that glow is green. Canadians are seen as having the best of both worlds — the wide open spaces characteristic of the US, with the progressive social policies that the rest of the developed world already takes for granted. It’s an enviable position… one that is, we think, well worth the extra cost of real estate.
Categories: Blog


Harvey Kalles Real Estate Market Report and Listings Sold and Leased: March 30 – April 26, 2013

Interior of 619 Avenue Road, Suite 804 in the Lonsdale, listed and sold by Harvey Kalles Real Estate agents Jeffrey Joseph and Irene Joseph.

We’re back this spring with more listings sold and leased by our fantastic agents! Every few weeks, we blog all the sales and leases from the previous period for agents at Harvey Kalles Real Estate, and we feature one, sometimes two, of the homes our agents have sold and leased. We also provide reporting and commentary around the Toronto real estate market: trends, forecasts and intelligence from our in-house experts.

After a sluggish first few months of 2013, the Toronto real estate market has bounced back with a vengeance as of April. Bidding wars have come roaring back (though in some market segments, like low-rise family homes under a million in the 416, they never left), and even the capricious condo market is seeing a renaissance as urban housing starts drop to keep pace with lower demand, at the same time as demand seems to be rising and rents are going through the roof. Watch this space: we’re looking forward to seeing what happens during the rest of the spring and into summer.

Here are the listings our agents sold and/or leased between March 30 and April 19, 2013.

23 Alhart Street: Kwang Sik Choi

96 Bideford Avenue: Jamie Erlick 

2906-300 Bloor Street East: John Fortney

505b-344 Bloor Street West (leased): Herman Wood and Kathie Wood 

569 Deloraine Avenue (leased): Adeana Axler and Nancy Jo Biderman 

15-1270 Finch Avenue West: Susan Young

3107-628 Fleet Street (leased): Diane Goodgoll

41 Gilgorm Road:  Herman Wood and Kathie Wood 

254 Haddington Ave: Robert Greenberg and Adam Weiner

340-5 Hanna Ave: Kenneth Ramsay

202-30 Holly Street: Perry Betel

1004-801 King St W: Lynn Kay 

21-85 Lillian Street: Michael Loewith and Jennifer Greenberg

67 Marmot Street: Diane Litchen

28 McNairn Ave: Robert Greenberg and Adam Weiner

33 Metcalfe Street: David Harland and Francis McNamara 

737 Pam Crescent: Adam Trifler and Hayla Trifler

254 Spadina Road (leased): Heidi Nelson

202-336 Spadina Road: Hannah Math Slan and Bob Davidson

204 Walmer Road (leased): Jeffrey Joseph and Irene Joseph

139 Waterloo Avenue: Nancy Jo Biderman and Michael Friedman 

702-525 Wilson Avenue (lwased): Heidi Nelson

203-100 Yorkville Avenue: Marni Lokash

81 Alberta Ave: Jamie Erlick 

2510-35 Balmuto Street (leased): Heidi Nelson

1411-3000 Bathurst St: Howard Biderman and Jack Samuel 

301-1466 Bathurst Street: Bob Davidson

2706-1001 Bay Street: Despina Barnard 

A-1424 Bayview Avenue (leased): Errol Paulicpulle and Jonathon Singh

2504-10 Bellair Street: Elizabeth Bernard and Janet Stewart

44 Brackenwood Avenue: Evan Budd

909-11 Brunel Court: David Oey

37 Castlewood Road: Ferne Sherkin-Langer and Nina Castle  

186 Cortleigh Blvd: Bill Greisman  

78 Crescent Road: Olga Schrage and Alex Hayward

1208-175 Cumberland Ave (leased): Cheryl Graff 

414-50 Disera Drive: Rachel Sekler 

500 Doris Avenue: Hamid Armaki and Sun Young Yoon 

86 Forest Heights Blvd: Jerry Appleby

41 Gilgorm Road: Herman Wood and Kathie Wood 

711-5 Hanna Ave: Armin Yousefi

1407-78 Harrison Garden Blvd: Mark Aliassa

10 Hawthorn Avenue: Hannah Math SlanElizabeth Bernard and Janet Stewart

305-900 Mount Pleasant Rd: Ira Jelinek and Aaron Gonsenhauser

3rd Flr-474 Oriole Parkway (leased): Errol Paulicpulle and Jonathon Singh

Th11-8 Rean Drive: Michelle Schipper

400 Richview Avenue: Matthew Zimmerman

39 Ridelle Avenue: Brian Schneidman and Ellen Schneidman

49 Roberta Drive: Marion Alberga and Simone Stern

86 Roselawn Avenue: Karen Rosenberg

51 Roxborough Drive: Donna Thompson, Nick Thompson, Sabrina Abdel-Salam

22 Sackville Place: David Harland and Francis McNamara 

706-60 St Clair Ave W: Daniel Bloch and Liora Tal

6-288 St Clair Avenue West: Valerie Hamilton and Eva Rames

144 Tamworth Road: Anita Evans 

176 The Bridle Path: Elizabeth Bernard and Janet Stewart

78-84 Vaughan Road: Michael Loewith and Jennifer Greenberg

1122A Avenue Road, Main Floor: Errol Paulicpulle and Jonathon Singh

65 Avonhurst Road: Richard KC Ling and Jorgina Lee 

56 Bassett Ave: Cheenee Foster and Yan Gurevich

64 Clarkson Ave (leased): Jerry Appleby

714-1200 Don Mills Road (leased): David Favero 

76 Donwoods Drive: Janine Sheeres 

3273 Dufferin Street: Elliott Shiff 

8 Fernwood Road: Jerry Appleby

106-43 Hanna Avenue: Kenneth Ramsay 

4 Janus Court: Carole Lazer 

320-637 Lake Shore Boulevard W: Loree Meneguzzi and Diane Goodgoll

106-39 Roehampton Avenue: Daniel Bloch and Liora Tal

1007-280 Simcoe Street: Jonathon Singh

513-89 Skymark Drive: Billy So and Mimi Yau

54 Verwood Ave:  Robert Greenberg and Reza Ipchilar

1014-24 Wellesley Street W: Errol Paulicpulle and Jonathon Singh

46 Apollo Drive: Corinne Kalles and Barbra Pollock 

804-619 Avenue Road: Jeffrey Joseph and Irene Joseph

16 Buckingham Avenue: Donna Thompson and Nick Thompson

239 Demaine Crescent: Rachel Sekler 

402-70 Distillery Lane (leased): Armin Yousefi

516 Fairlawn Avenue: Sacha Hayward

14 Forest Glen Crescent: Janine Sheeres 

711-5 Hanna Ave: Armin Yousefi

317 Joicey Boulevard: Kenneth Ramsay 

f 95 Leuty Avenue: Hannah Math Slan

114 Lord Seaton Road (leased): Judy Horvath 

123 McGillivray Avenue: Carolyn Feldman

69 Old Forest Hill Road (leased): Ferne Sherkin-Langer and Nina Castle  

25 Sandy Point Drive: Brenda Abramson

85 Soudan Avenue: Vivian Souroujon

442 Sumach Street (leased): David Harland and Francis McNamara 

5504 Waterwind Crescent (leased): Mick Brown

433 Wellesley Street East: David Harland and Francis McNamara 

927-50 Western Battery Road: Ugo Bulgaretti 

356-525 Wilson Avenue: Adam Feldman

994 Woodbine Ave: Barbara Banks and Ronald Baker 

291 Woodfield Rd: Kenneth Ramsay 

Categories: Blog